Markets Face Bumpy Climb After Peak Tariff Uncertainty, Nansen Says

Markets may have moved past the peak of U.S. tariff policy uncertainty, but the path ahead remains volatile, according to a new report from Nansen.

Nansen Highlights ‘Bessent Put’ as U.S. Moderates Trade Stance

In a report shared with Bitcoin.com News, Aurelie Barthere, Principal Research Analyst at Nansen, argues that recent U.S. tariff negotiations suggest a shift toward pragmatism, easing some investor fears. The report highlights Treasury Secretary Bessent’s growing influence over trade policy, contrasting with the diminished role of hardline aides like Navarro and Commerce Secretary Lutnick.

This shift, coupled with temporary tariff exemptions for semiconductors and tech products, signals a potential de-escalation, Nansen’s research analyst notes. However, Barthere says risks linger. Sectoral tariffs and unresolved negotiations with China could prolong uncertainty, impacting consumer spending and business investment.

The report points to weakening U.S. Treasury demand and a falling dollar as signs of foreign capital hedging against further volatility. Equities outside the U.S., particularly in Europe and China, underperformed during the height of tariff tensions, Nansen data shows. Yet, the firm cautions that the lack of viable alternatives may keep global investors anchored to U.S. markets.

Barthere’s analysis recommends a conservative approach, favoring assets like bitcoin ( BTC), discounted tech stocks such as Nvidia, and high-margin European pharma companies. Gold is also cited as a geopolitical hedge. The firm’s Risk Barometer turned “risk-on” late last week, reflecting cautious optimism. But Barthere warns the climb will be bumpy:

We have likely passed the peak tariff uncertainty, with risk assets now climbing a bumpy wall of worry.

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